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Red136
132932.5
553044.5
461173.7
Blue121
317570.7
642133.5
580462.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175194100150250300136121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +22
21Coral scored#17
76Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
104Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#7
8L3#5
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
136Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.71.7
77.876.1
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
red by 3.0
3175
#32
70.73.8
76.072.1
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
Second
5530
#53
44.51.7
53.351.7
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
blue by 18.2
5804
#33
62.73.8
60.356.5
Auto11.4
Teleop40.8
End10.5
Third
1329
#69
32.51.7
27.025.3
Auto4.1
Teleop27.2
End1.1
blue by 1.0
6421
#61
33.53.8
39.836.0
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned