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Red159
264231.7
479562.2
331357.9
Blue195
126163.8
716673.8
87057.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163219100150200250300159195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points52
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +2
24Coral scored#27
87Coral points97
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
123Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#13
8L3#13
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
159Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#46
62.20.6
62.261.6
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
blue by 11.6
7166
#19
73.81.1
73.172.0
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
Second
3313
#56
57.90.6
57.156.5
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
blue by 5.9
1261
#13
63.81.1
63.762.6
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
Third
2642
#62
31.70.6
37.336.7
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
blue by 25.3
870
#28
57.01.1
63.862.7
Auto13.7
Teleop36.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned