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Red189
940150.5
306166.9
346775.4
Blue225
335445.0
7555.6
347880.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206187100150250300350189225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +16
29Coral scored#35
104Coral points126
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
132Total teleop148
Reef
12L4#12
14L3#15
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#10
44Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
189Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#24
75.40.0
72.372.4
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
blue by 5.1
3478
#29
80.53.2
79.682.7
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
Second
3061
#63
66.90.0
62.162.2
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
red by 11.3
75
#43
55.63.2
54.657.7
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
Third
9401
#75
50.50.0
48.248.3
Auto12.9
Teleop32.0
End5.7
red by 5.5
3354
#59
45.03.2
37.841.0
Auto8.2
Teleop35.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned