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Red263
702865.4
860871.5
745797.1
Blue250
10363.4
86275.2
284772.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245241210220230250260270280290263250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave6
13Coral scored#7
65Coral points34
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +4
37Coral scored#31
132Coral points112
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
18Processor points18
12Net points28
30Algae points46
162Total teleop158
Reef
15L4#13
18L3#13
10L2#5
7L1 · trough#7
56Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points26
263Total score250

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.11.0
96.797.7
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 21.9
862
#37
75.20.9
78.677.7
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
Second
8608
#35
71.51.0
71.872.8
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
blue by 0.5
2847
#23
72.00.9
72.871.9
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
Third
65.41.0
60.661.5
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
red by 2.0
103
#30
63.40.9
65.864.9
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned