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Red223
960968.7
464667.5
1015433.5
Blue188
419243.2
461173.7
511240.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183167120140160200220240223188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +39
38Coral scored#25
137Coral points90
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
18Processor points18
16Net points24
34Algae points42
171Total teleop132
Reef
16L4#10
12L3#9
8L2#8
8L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
223Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9609
#31
68.71.8
65.166.9
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
blue by 5.1
73.70.7
76.176.9
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
Second
67.51.8
60.962.7
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
red by 24.3
4192
#66
43.20.7
38.739.4
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End3.3
Third
33.51.8
35.136.9
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End4.4
blue by 6.6
5112
#60
40.10.7
35.336.0
Auto4.6
Teleop32.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned