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Red253
177189.9
317570.7
402079.5
Blue182
765738.1
16665.3
453450.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26314950100200300350253182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +52
36Coral scored#25
128Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
12Processor points18
36Net points16
48Algae points34
176Total teleop124
Reef
19L4#11
12L3#9
6L2#8
8L1 · trough#4
56Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
253Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.90.5
89.088.6
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
red by 24.6
166
#25
65.31.2
65.766.8
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
Second
4020
#17
79.50.5
78.778.2
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
red by 29.4
4534
#65
50.11.2
48.449.5
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Third
3175
#32
70.70.5
72.171.6
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
red by 32.6
7657
#50
38.11.2
31.532.7
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed