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Red172
177189.9
1051825.1
453450.1
Blue184
479562.2
347880.5
851365.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171234100150200250300350172184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points47
54Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +5
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
106Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#12
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
172Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.90.1
88.688.5
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
red by 9.4
3478
#29
80.52.7
82.780.1
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
Second
4534
#65
50.10.1
49.549.5
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
blue by 15.5
8513
#22
65.62.7
71.368.6
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
Third
25.10.1
20.620.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
blue by 37.0
4795
#46
62.22.7
61.658.9
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned