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Red221
331357.9
1015433.5
944273.0
Blue141
202252.4
1065619.5
317570.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202173100150250221141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+90Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +76
30Coral scored#19
107Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
10Net algae#2
18Processor points12
40Net points8
58Algae points20
165Total teleop89
Reef
18L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
221Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#52
73.01.5
71.773.3
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
red by 2.2
3175
#32
70.72.5
71.669.2
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
Second
3313
#56
57.91.5
56.558.0
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
red by 5.5
2022
#64
52.42.5
53.450.9
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
Third
33.51.5
36.938.4
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End4.4
red by 14.0
19.52.5
18.616.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned