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Red231
16665.3
284772.0
34064.1
Blue215
306166.9
716673.8
960968.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218212100150250300350231215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+10
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +11
21Coral scored#26
74Coral points93
4Processor algae#4
10Net algae#8
24Processor points24
40Net points32
64Algae points56
138Total teleop149
Reef
8L4#12
11L3#8
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#46
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
231Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#23
72.00.6
71.972.5
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
blue by 1.7
7166
#19
73.80.2
72.072.2
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
Second
166
#25
65.30.6
66.867.5
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
blue by 3.4
9609
#31
68.70.2
66.967.1
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
Third
340
#7
64.10.6
65.766.3
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
blue by 2.8
3061
#63
66.90.2
62.262.4
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned