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Red145
348741.4
635236.9
139158.6
Blue202
346775.4
264231.7
353965.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153210100250300145202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
19Coral scored#32
67Coral points116
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
113Total teleop154
Reef
7L4#17
6L3#7
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
145Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#45
58.60.7
59.258.5
Auto13.0
Teleop36.1
End9.6
blue by 16.8
3467
#24
75.40.1
72.472.5
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
Second
3487
#48
41.40.7
43.142.4
Auto6.3
Teleop31.3
End3.7
blue by 23.6
3539
#27
65.00.1
68.969.0
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
Third
6352
#68
36.90.7
35.935.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
red by 5.2
2642
#62
31.70.1
36.736.8
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned