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Red179
146636.6
335445.0
366386.0
Blue254
423766.3
580462.7
170692.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172236100150200250300350179254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+45
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave6
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points52
23Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +10
28Coral scored#35
100Coral points126
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
18Processor points18
32Net points16
50Algae points34
150Total teleop160
Reef
15L4#18
7L3#10
6L2#10
4L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
179Total score254

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.7
83.584.2
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
blue by 6.6
1706
#36
92.61.8
93.595.2
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
Second
3354
#59
45.00.7
41.041.7
Auto8.2
Teleop35.8
End1.0
blue by 21.2
4237
#34
66.31.8
64.366.0
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
Third
1466
#41
36.60.7
33.434.0
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End1.0
blue by 26.1
5804
#33
62.71.8
58.360.1
Auto11.4
Teleop40.8
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned