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Red234
702865.4
327684.2
86275.2
Blue218
694156.0
765738.1
204682.6
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248180100150200300234218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +8
32Coral scored#28
114Coral points100
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#8
12Processor points30
28Net points32
40Algae points62
154Total teleop162
Reef
14L4#15
15L3#7
7L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#48
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
234Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#42
84.20.2
80.780.9
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
red by 1.7
2046
#15
82.62.6
81.183.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
Second
862
#37
75.20.2
77.777.9
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
red by 19.2
6941
#73
56.02.6
54.356.8
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Third
65.40.2
61.561.7
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
red by 27.3
7657
#50
38.12.6
32.735.3
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned