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Red228
126163.8
85853.1
888473.3
Blue187
442261.2
642133.5
661561.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212170100150200250300228187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
26Coral scored#28
95Coral points101
5Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
30Processor points12
36Net points20
66Algae points32
161Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#17
12L3#5
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
228Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.31.7
72.874.5
Auto18.2
Teleop47.5
End7.7
red by 11.8
6615
#57
61.51.4
60.361.6
Auto13.5
Teleop47.9
End0.1
Second
1261
#13
63.81.7
62.664.4
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
red by 2.6
4422
#44
61.21.4
57.959.2
Auto13.4
Teleop39.4
End8.4
Third
858
#55
53.11.7
52.854.5
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End0.4
red by 19.6
6421
#61
33.51.4
34.135.5
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned