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Red233
860871.5
310053.8
464667.5
Blue273
402079.5
632983.3
581375.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210265150250300350233273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points55
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +19
34Coral scored#34
122Coral points123
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
18Processor points24
20Net points32
38Algae points56
160Total teleop179
Reef
19L4#15
12L3#14
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
233Total score273

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#35
71.51.8
72.874.6
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
blue by 11.8
83.30.9
85.486.3
Auto21.0
Teleop51.8
End10.5
Second
67.51.8
62.764.4
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
blue by 12.0
4020
#17
79.50.9
78.279.1
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
Third
3100
#40
53.81.8
51.653.4
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
blue by 21.2
5813
#14
75.00.9
76.076.8
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned