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Red226
745797.1
35984.8
683828.0
Blue150
448178.5
149860.3
553044.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235202100150250300350226150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+54Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
9Coral scored#4
43Coral points20
43Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
28Coral scored#22
101Coral points79
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
24Processor points24
32Net points20
56Algae points44
157Total teleop123
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#8
6L2#7
10L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#35
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
226Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.10.1
97.797.8
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 18.6
4481
#16
78.53.6
81.578.0
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
Second
359
#10
84.80.1
86.386.3
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
red by 24.5
1498
#71
60.33.6
61.057.5
Auto13.8
Teleop39.3
End7.2
Third
6838
#67
28.00.1
29.829.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End0.4
blue by 16.5
5530
#53
44.53.6
49.846.2
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed