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Red150
264037.3
107361.3
114849.7
Blue163
7555.6
10363.4
511240.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16518550100150200250300150163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
26Coral scored#22
92Coral points79
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
114Total teleop121
Reef
12L4#11
7L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
150Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#21
61.30.2
60.060.2
Auto15.6
Teleop35.6
End10.1
blue by 2.1
103
#30
63.40.3
64.965.2
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
Second
1148
#38
49.70.2
49.649.8
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
blue by 5.9
75
#43
55.60.3
57.758.0
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
Third
2640
#70
37.30.2
36.937.1
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
blue by 2.9
5112
#60
40.10.3
36.036.3
Auto4.6
Teleop32.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned