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Red236
716673.8
546077.7
565439.0
Blue163
132932.5
1051825.1
694853.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22394050150200250300350236163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+53Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave9
11Coral scored#3
55Coral points14
61Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
23Coral scored#26
81Coral points94
4Processor algae#2
11Net algae#7
24Processor points12
44Net points28
68Algae points40
149Total teleop134
Reef
11L4#9
13L3#7
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
236Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#11
77.72.2
75.377.5
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
red by 24.5
6948
#54
53.33.3
49.052.3
Auto10.8
Teleop40.2
End2.3
Second
7166
#19
73.82.2
72.274.4
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
red by 41.3
1329
#69
32.53.3
27.430.7
Auto4.1
Teleop27.2
End1.1
Third
5654
#49
39.02.2
38.540.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
red by 13.8
25.13.3
20.523.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed