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Red233
35984.8
8881.0
461173.7
Blue221
300592.2
745797.1
888473.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256282200300350233221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points42
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +26
27Coral scored#28
96Coral points100
7Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
42Processor points24
32Net points20
74Algae points44
170Total teleop144
Reef
12L4#13
6L3#12
10L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
233Total score221

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
84.80.2
85.184.9
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
blue by 12.3
97.11.0
98.197.1
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
Second
88
#20
81.00.2
81.381.1
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
blue by 11.2
3005
#26
92.21.0
93.292.2
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
Third
73.70.2
74.073.9
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
red by 0.4
73.31.0
74.373.3
Auto18.2
Teleop47.5
End7.7