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Red263
347880.5
327684.2
177189.9
Blue267
170692.6
86275.2
366386.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258272200250300350263267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
9Coral scored#12
45Coral points58
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +3
38Coral scored#30
138Coral points107
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#9
18Processor points30
20Net points36
38Algae points66
176Total teleop173
Reef
12L4#17
11L3#13
12L2#6
12L1 · trough#6
55Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
263Total score267

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.90.3
88.788.9
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
blue by 2.7
1706
#36
92.60.2
93.593.7
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
Second
3276
#42
84.20.3
83.083.3
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
blue by 1.8
86.00.2
86.887.1
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
Third
3478
#29
80.50.3
79.379.6
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
red by 5.4
862
#37
75.20.2
76.076.3
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3