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Red257
35984.8
8881.0
461173.7
Blue247
448178.5
632983.3
581375.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260253180200220240280300320257247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
12Coral scored#11
58Coral points56
58Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +17
28Coral scored#26
99Coral points94
4Processor algae#4
10Net algae#7
24Processor points24
40Net points28
64Algae points52
163Total teleop146
Reef
12L4#9
13L3#15
10L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
257Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
84.80.4
84.785.1
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
red by 1.5
83.30.2
83.183.3
Auto21.0
Teleop51.8
End10.5
Second
88
#20
81.00.4
80.981.3
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
red by 2.5
4481
#16
78.50.2
78.378.5
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
Third
73.70.4
73.674.0
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
blue by 1.2
5813
#14
75.00.2
74.775.0
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2