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Red265
300592.2
745797.1
402079.5
Blue244
2780.8
702865.4
306166.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292220150200250350265244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
12Coral scored#11
58Coral points55
58Total auto61
TeleoperatedRed +4
32Coral scored#28
115Coral points99
4Processor algae#6
8Net algae#8
24Processor points36
32Net points32
56Algae points68
171Total teleop167
Reef
17L4#10
14L3#15
9L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
56Game pieces#53
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
265Total score244

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.10.3
98.398.1
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 16.2
27
#18
80.80.6
80.280.8
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
Second
3005
#26
92.20.3
93.593.2
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
red by 25.3
3061
#63
66.90.6
66.366.9
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Third
4020
#17
79.50.3
79.779.5
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
red by 14.1
65.40.6
64.865.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3