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Red221
346775.4
464667.5
6781.0
Blue263
347880.5
327684.2
177189.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242263150200300350221263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+22
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
7Coral scored#11
35Coral points56
44Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +1
31Coral scored#36
111Coral points130
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
30Processor points12
20Net points20
50Algae points32
161Total teleop162
Reef
10L4#12
10L3#18
9L2#12
9L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
221Total score263

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
81.00.0
80.780.6
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
blue by 8.9
89.90.3
88.388.6
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
3467
#24
75.40.0
75.275.1
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
blue by 8.8
3276
#42
84.20.3
82.682.9
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
Third
67.50.0
67.267.2
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
blue by 13.0
3478
#29
80.50.3
78.979.2
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1