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Red249
170692.6
86275.2
366386.0
Blue243
546077.7
204682.6
34064.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281237150200250300350249243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +13
36Coral scored#34
129Coral points124
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
30Processor points18
20Net points24
50Algae points42
179Total teleop166
Reef
14L4#18
16L3#12
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#8
53Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
249Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#36
92.60.2
93.893.7
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
red by 10.1
2046
#15
82.60.4
83.483.8
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
Second
86.00.2
87.287.0
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
red by 8.2
5460
#11
77.70.4
78.678.9
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
Third
862
#37
75.20.2
76.476.2
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
red by 11.0
340
#7
64.10.4
65.065.3
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6