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Red245
2780.8
702865.4
306166.9
Blue247
35984.8
8881.0
461173.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221263150200250300245247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
11Coral scored#11
55Coral points55
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#28
87Coral points101
6Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
36Processor points24
28Net points28
64Algae points52
151Total teleop153
Reef
11L4#18
14L3#11
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
245Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#18
80.80.8
79.480.2
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
blue by 4.0
359
#10
84.80.2
84.684.8
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
Second
3061
#63
66.90.8
65.566.3
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
blue by 14.1
88
#20
81.00.2
80.881.0
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
Third
65.40.8
64.064.8
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
blue by 8.3
73.70.2
73.573.7
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0