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Red272
448178.5
632983.3
581375.0
Blue239
346775.4
464667.5
6781.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552440100200300400500272239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave0
12Coral scored#6
59Coral points30
65Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
24Coral scored#31
85Coral points111
3Processor algae#4
11Net algae#9
18Processor points24
44Net points36
62Algae points60
147Total teleop171
Reef
15L4#8
12L3#12
6L2#9
3L1 · trough#8
50Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +33
24Foul points2
272Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.3
82.883.1
Auto21.0
Teleop51.8
End10.5
red by 2.4
67
#12
81.00.3
80.681.0
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
Second
4481
#16
78.50.3
78.078.3
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
red by 3.1
3467
#24
75.40.3
75.175.4
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
Third
5813
#14
75.00.3
74.474.7
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2
red by 7.5
67.50.3
67.267.5
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9