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Red176
546077.7
204682.6
34064.1
Blue226
2780.8
702865.4
306166.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243224150200300176226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+38
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points28
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
23Coral scored#32
84Coral points115
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
6Processor points12
28Net points12
34Algae points24
118Total teleop139
Reef
11L4#14
8L3#11
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points14
176Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#15
82.61.2
83.882.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
red by 1.7
27
#18
80.80.0
80.280.2
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
Second
5460
#11
77.71.2
78.977.7
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
red by 10.8
3061
#63
66.90.0
66.366.3
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Third
340
#7
64.11.2
65.364.1
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
blue by 1.3
65.40.0
64.864.8
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3