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Red267
300592.2
745797.1
402079.5
Blue275
347880.5
327684.2
177189.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288259200250300350267275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
12Coral scored#11
62Coral points55
65Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +9
30Coral scored#31
108Coral points111
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#8
18Processor points24
32Net points32
50Algae points56
158Total teleop167
Reef
16L4#14
13L3#13
6L2#9
7L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +8
8Foul points14
267Total score275

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.10.5
98.998.3
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 7.2
89.90.1
88.688.7
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
3005
#26
92.20.5
94.093.5
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
red by 8.0
3276
#42
84.20.1
82.983.0
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
Third
4020
#17
79.50.5
80.379.7
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
blue by 1.1
3478
#29
80.50.1
79.279.3
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1