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Red238
317374.8
17979.1
465578.8
Blue259
2056119.8
461368.4
699569.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239273150200250300350238259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
11Coral scored#12
57Coral points60
57Total auto60
TeleoperatedBlue +6
23Coral scored#26
83Coral points93
4Processor algae#6
12Net algae#8
24Processor points36
48Net points32
72Algae points68
155Total teleop161
Reef
10L4#17
11L3#8
6L2#10
7L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
238Total score259

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
79.10.1
78.979.1
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
blue by 40.7
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
78.80.1
78.778.8
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
red by 9.1
6995
#13
69.70.0
69.869.7
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
3173
#45
74.80.1
74.774.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
red by 6.5
4613
#42
68.40.0
68.468.4
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6