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Red271
317374.8
17979.1
465578.8
Blue275
2056119.8
461368.4
699569.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236272150200250300350271275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
11Coral scored#12
55Coral points62
64Total auto71
TeleoperatedRed +3
30Coral scored#39
109Coral points140
3Processor algae#2
11Net algae#4
18Processor points12
44Net points16
62Algae points28
171Total teleop168
Reef
17L4#21
10L3#13
10L2#10
4L1 · trough#7
55Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
271Total score275

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
79.10.9
78.078.9
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
blue by 40.7
119.80.4
119.4119.8
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
78.80.9
77.878.7
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
red by 9.1
6995
#13
69.70.4
69.469.8
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
3173
#45
74.80.9
73.874.7
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
red by 6.5
4613
#42
68.40.4
68.068.4
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6