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Red246
179696.5
263081.6
445171.0
Blue256
2056119.8
461368.4
699569.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254269200300350246256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
10Coral scored#9
52Coral points46
61Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +27
34Coral scored#38
123Coral points138
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
18Processor points18
16Net points28
34Algae points46
157Total teleop184
Reef
17L4#20
11L3#13
9L2#7
7L1 · trough#7
51Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points0
246Total score256

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.1
96.696.5
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
blue by 23.3
119.80.0
119.4119.4
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
81.60.1
81.781.6
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
red by 11.9
6995
#13
69.70.0
69.469.4
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
4451
#34
71.00.1
71.171.0
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
red by 2.6
4613
#42
68.40.0
68.068.0
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6