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Red194
183373.9
148149.1
264863.7
Blue202
566065.9
442156.8
328446.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20417850100150250300350194202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +19
25Coral scored#26
90Coral points93
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#9
24Processor points24
20Net points36
44Algae points60
134Total teleop153
Reef
9L4#14
13L3#8
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
194Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1833
#22
73.90.6
73.173.7
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
red by 8.0
5660
#28
65.92.8
62.865.5
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
Second
2648
#59
63.70.6
63.063.7
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
red by 6.9
4421
#32
56.82.8
54.056.8
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.5
Third
1481
#70
49.10.6
48.449.1
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
red by 2.4
3284
#63
46.72.8
43.946.7
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned