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Red203
943270.2
948440.9
460777.6
Blue156
683226.7
704841.1
325659.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21012350100150250300203156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
25Coral scored#22
90Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
126Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#8
12L3#10
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
203Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#31
77.61.2
76.377.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
red by 18.1
3256
#58
59.52.4
57.159.5
Auto11.8
Teleop39.0
End8.7
Second
9432
#23
70.21.2
68.769.9
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
red by 29.2
7048
#62
41.12.4
38.741.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
Third
9484
#55
40.91.2
39.740.9
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
red by 14.2
6832
#75
26.72.4
24.326.7
Auto3.5
Teleop19.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned