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Red203
601737.2
406878.0
30268.2
Blue169
243850.5
614645.1
329757.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206166100150250300203169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
26Coral scored#30
94Coral points109
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
136Total teleop133
Reef
13L4#13
8L3#13
8L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
203Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#14
78.00.4
77.277.6
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
red by 21.0
3297
#11
57.00.2
56.656.8
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
Second
302
#35
68.20.4
68.769.1
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
red by 17.7
2438
#72
50.50.2
50.350.5
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
Third
6017
#44
37.20.4
36.737.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
blue by 7.9
6146
#53
45.10.2
44.945.1
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed