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Red216
445171.0
880847.5
22671.6
Blue229
142573.2
167164.2
400554.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19420150100150250300350216229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +4
28Coral scored#26
100Coral points92
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#5
18Processor points30
28Net points20
46Algae points50
146Total teleop142
Reef
10L4#16
13L3#10
10L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
216Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#17
71.61.2
70.571.6
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
blue by 1.5
1425
#12
73.22.1
71.073.2
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
Second
4451
#34
71.01.2
70.471.6
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
red by 6.7
1671
#24
64.22.1
62.164.2
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Third
8808
#73
47.51.2
46.347.5
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
blue by 7.2
4005
#29
54.72.1
52.554.7
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned