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Red155
328446.7
212969.5
49467.6
Blue154
596838.0
53738.0
22671.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210158100200250300155154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+13Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
25Coral scored#23
90Coral points82
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#4
12Processor points0
16Net points16
28Algae points16
118Total teleop98
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#9
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
155Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#51
69.52.3
64.362.0
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
blue by 2.2
226
#17
71.60.1
66.166.1
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
Second
494
#47
67.62.3
71.469.0
Auto15.0
Teleop41.8
End10.8
red by 29.6
537
#68
38.00.1
40.540.4
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
Third
3284
#63
46.72.3
43.340.9
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
red by 8.7
5968
#74
38.00.1
37.437.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned