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Red116
928044.3
596838.0
1029135.2
Blue198
7861.0
41858.6
317374.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12722350100150200250300116198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+60
Endgame+84
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points27
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +47
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points64
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#12
12Processor points24
8Net points48
20Algae points72
89Total teleop136
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#7
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
2Foul points0
116Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#66
44.30.7
45.044.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
blue by 30.6
3173
#45
74.80.1
71.471.5
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
Second
5968
#74
38.00.7
38.738.0
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
blue by 23.0
78
#18
61.00.1
60.961.0
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End8.6
Third
35.20.7
35.935.2
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
blue by 23.4
418
#20
58.60.1
58.558.6
Auto14.0
Teleop35.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned