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Red195
857549.6
325574.5
379253.3
Blue152
725767.8
690932.4
930136.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217160100200250300195152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points26
31Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points74
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
30Processor points6
16Net points20
46Algae points26
126Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#12
9L3#5
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points0
195Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#39
74.50.8
74.273.4
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
red by 6.7
7257
#33
67.80.0
67.367.3
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End8.8
Second
3792
#10
53.30.8
53.552.7
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
red by 17.2
9301
#36
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto7.9
Teleop18.3
End9.9
Third
8575
#21
49.60.8
50.449.6
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
red by 17.1
6909
#71
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned