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Red206
64940.8
1678105.6
931245.8
Blue183
919947.6
263081.6
873857.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2062010100300400206183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points41
48Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +4
26Coral scored#19
92Coral points68
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#7
12Processor points24
20Net points28
32Algae points52
124Total teleop120
Reef
9L4#7
12L3#9
9L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
8Foul points0
206Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.5
104.7105.2
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
red by 24.0
81.60.3
82.582.2
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Second
9312
#64
45.80.5
45.345.8
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
blue by 11.4
8738
#26
57.30.3
57.657.3
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
Third
649
#52
40.80.5
40.340.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
blue by 6.8
9199
#48
47.60.3
47.947.6
Auto10.9
Teleop28.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned