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Red177
349232.6
703463.3
212969.5
Blue231
2056119.8
150765.6
1069825.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172235100150200250300177231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+56
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +38
24Coral scored#29
86Coral points104
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#9
18Processor points18
16Net points36
34Algae points54
120Total teleop158
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#11
9L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points0
177Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#51
69.50.0
69.569.5
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
blue by 50.4
119.80.8
117.4118.2
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
7034
#38
63.30.0
62.262.2
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
blue by 2.3
1507
#25
65.60.8
64.865.6
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
Third
3492
#61
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto7.3
Teleop25.4
End-0.1
red by 6.7
25.90.8
25.025.9
Auto1.5
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned