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Red230
49467.6
69496.5
642469.1
Blue179
173164.0
272449.2
608335.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27115250100200250300350230179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
54Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +23
29Coral scored#24
106Coral points87
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
140Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#10
11L3#9
12L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
230Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#9
96.51.2
98.697.4
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
red by 32.5
1731
#37
64.01.7
61.563.2
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
Second
69.11.2
69.768.5
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
red by 19.9
2724
#40
49.21.7
47.549.2
Auto8.2
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Third
494
#47
67.61.2
68.867.6
Auto15.0
Teleop41.8
End10.8
red by 32.5
6083
#67
35.11.7
33.435.1
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned