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Red182
1026019.8
329757.0
465578.8
Blue150
148149.1
880847.5
642469.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14417550100200250182150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points25
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +19
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points74
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
119Total teleop100
Reef
10L4#12
6L3#6
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
182Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.82.4
68.871.2
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
red by 9.7
69.11.4
66.665.2
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
Second
3297
#11
57.02.4
50.452.8
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
red by 7.9
1481
#70
49.11.4
50.248.8
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
Third
19.82.4
15.918.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 27.7
8808
#73
47.51.4
43.442.0
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned