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Red226
22671.6
930136.1
263081.6
Blue212
69496.5
601737.2
596838.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188177100150200250300226212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
12Coral scored#6
61Coral points31
61Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +5
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points68
4Processor algae#6
5Net algae#5
24Processor points36
20Net points20
44Algae points56
129Total teleop124
Reef
10L4#10
15L3#5
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points22
226Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.63.2
73.176.3
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
blue by 14.9
694
#9
96.51.1
92.994.0
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
Second
226
#17
71.63.2
66.169.3
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
red by 33.6
5968
#74
38.01.1
37.338.4
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
Third
9301
#36
36.13.2
27.230.4
Auto7.9
Teleop18.3
End9.9
blue by 1.1
6017
#44
37.21.1
32.433.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned