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Red200
49467.6
64940.8
264863.7
Blue209
857549.6
150765.6
441582.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178197050100150250300350200209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points29
30Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +3
30Coral scored#30
108Coral points109
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
144Total teleop147
Reef
13L4#14
9L3#9
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points4
200Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#47
67.61.5
69.070.6
Auto15.0
Teleop41.8
End10.8
blue by 15.1
82.71.1
74.375.4
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
Second
2648
#59
63.71.5
59.761.2
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
blue by 2.0
1507
#25
65.61.1
59.860.9
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
Third
649
#52
40.81.5
36.938.4
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
blue by 8.7
8575
#21
49.61.1
43.444.5
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned