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Red117
566065.9
243850.5
704841.1
Blue141
53738.0
873857.3
752539.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461216080100160180200220117141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
14Coral points44
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
78Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
117Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#28
65.91.4
51.650.2
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
red by 8.6
8738
#26
57.31.3
52.653.9
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
Second
2438
#72
50.51.4
56.555.1
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
red by 11.0
7525
#16
39.51.3
22.023.3
Auto14.3
Teleop22.1
End3.1
Third
7048
#62
41.11.4
25.223.8
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
red by 3.0
537
#68
38.01.3
40.441.7
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed