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Red133
136939.7
690932.4
719752.5
Blue145
1069825.9
943270.2
445171.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10617150150200250133145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
89Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
133Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#60
52.51.4
51.653.0
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
blue by 18.5
4451
#34
71.01.2
67.866.7
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
Second
1369
#50
39.71.4
24.425.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End3.2
blue by 30.6
9432
#23
70.21.2
62.861.6
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
Third
6909
#71
32.41.7
27.629.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
red by 6.5
25.91.4
23.622.2
Auto1.5
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned