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Red163
325574.5
41858.6
184743.4
Blue150
173164.0
212969.5
461368.4
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184189050100150250300350400163150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+7
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
97Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#10
9L3#4
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
163Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#39
74.50.4
69.469.0
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
red by 5.1
2129
#51
69.51.6
62.060.4
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
Second
418
#20
58.60.4
61.761.3
Auto14.0
Teleop35.5
End9.1
blue by 9.8
4613
#42
68.41.6
60.258.6
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6
Third
1847
#30
43.40.4
37.837.4
Auto6.5
Teleop30.7
End6.2
blue by 20.6
1731
#37
64.01.6
51.950.3
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned