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Red219
703463.3
30268.2
928044.3
Blue241
379253.3
642469.1
167164.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187214100150200250300219241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
40Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +4
27Coral scored#35
97Coral points125
8Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
48Processor points12
20Net points24
68Algae points36
165Total teleop161
Reef
13L4#14
10L3#15
6L2#11
4L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
219Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#35
68.21.8
68.470.2
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
blue by 0.9
69.12.3
65.267.4
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
Second
7034
#38
63.31.8
57.559.3
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
blue by 1.0
1671
#24
64.22.3
66.668.8
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Third
9280
#66
44.31.8
41.643.4
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
blue by 9.0
3792
#10
53.32.3
49.151.4
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned