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Red190
325659.5
880847.5
406878.0
Blue173
903260.3
349232.6
478662.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18115350100200250190173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points37
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
24Coral scored#25
85Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
127Total teleop130
Reef
8L4#9
13L3#11
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
190Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#14
78.00.7
72.072.7
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
red by 15.4
4786
#15
62.61.0
59.060.1
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
Second
3256
#58
59.50.7
54.755.4
Auto11.8
Teleop39.0
End8.7
blue by 0.8
9032
#43
60.31.0
58.359.3
Auto11.7
Teleop45.3
End3.3
Third
8808
#73
47.50.7
42.042.7
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
red by 14.9
3492
#61
32.61.0
29.030.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed