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Red151
691153.1
1029135.2
272449.2
Blue211
634838.4
179696.5
325574.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103240050150200300151211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+72
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points44
22Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +44
19Coral scored#24
69Coral points85
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#11
18Processor points18
16Net points44
34Algae points62
103Total teleop147
Reef
8L4#15
6L3#10
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#47
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
151Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#57
53.12.8
40.643.4
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
blue by 43.4
96.50.1
93.993.8
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
Second
2724
#40
49.22.8
34.337.1
Auto8.2
Teleop32.1
End8.8
blue by 25.4
3255
#39
74.50.1
69.068.9
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
Third
35.22.8
23.025.8
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
blue by 3.2
6348
#41
38.40.1
38.138.0
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed