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Red203
90067.8
442156.8
948440.9
Blue162
614645.1
212969.5
690932.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17413550100150200250203162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +31
30Coral scored#22
109Coral points78
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
151Total teleop120
Reef
12L4#14
11L3#6
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
203Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#19
67.82.6
68.671.2
Auto18.1
Teleop48.8
End0.9
blue by 1.7
2129
#51
69.51.6
60.462.0
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
Second
4421
#32
56.82.6
50.352.8
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.5
red by 11.7
6146
#53
45.11.8
36.638.4
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
Third
9484
#55
40.92.6
34.537.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
red by 8.5
6909
#71
32.41.8
29.331.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned